The record · NFL

Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders: our pick

We called the Los Angeles Rams at 75%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.

Final: Los Angeles Rams 35–21 Las Vegas Raiders. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 75% is the betting market's own price for the Los Angeles Rams: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 14.2 points away from the Los Angeles Rams.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Los Angeles Rams: 2 right.

At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 4:57 PM ET at Q1 6:25: Los Angeles Rams 88% to win, called at 75%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Los Angeles Rams win chance, call to final
50%

Call 75% Alert 88% at Q1 6:25Last live read 100% (Q4 0:38)

More on these teams

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Rams

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Entry #291 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →