Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills: our pick
We called the Buffalo Bills at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.
Final: Baltimore Ravens 10–36 Buffalo Bills. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the Buffalo Bills: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 5.6 points toward the Buffalo Bills.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Buffalo Bills: 5 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 1:24 PM ET at Q1 8:31: Buffalo Bills 76% to win, called at 56%.
Call 56% Alert 76% at Q1 8:31Last live read 100% (Q4 2:00)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Buffalo Bills avg margin
- +4.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo Bills's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills win chance | 56% | 62% |
| Buffalo Bills spread | -2.5 | — |
| Total | 51.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Buffalo Bills at 56%.
- Market closed with the Buffalo Bills at 62%, 5.6 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 8:31: the Buffalo Bills 76% to win, called at 56%.
- Final: Baltimore Ravens 10–36 Buffalo Bills. Right.
More on these teams
Buffalo Bills
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