The record · NFL

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: our pick

We called the Baltimore Ravens at 63%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.

Final: Cincinnati Bengals 35–13 Baltimore Ravens. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 63% is the betting market's own price for the Baltimore Ravens: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 20.5 points away from the Baltimore Ravens.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Baltimore Ravens: 5 right.

At 63%, a pick like this still loses about 37 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 1:11 PM ET at Q1 13:36: Baltimore Ravens 78% to win, called at 63%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Baltimore Ravens win chance, call to final
50%

Call 63% Alert 78% at Q1 13:36Last live read 0% (Q4 2:00)

More on these teams

Baltimore Ravens

Cincinnati Bengals

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Entry #257 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →