Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets: our pick
We called the Denver Nuggets at 71%, locked Oct 26, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Golden State Warriors 134–114 Denver Nuggets. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 71% is the betting market's own price for the Denver Nuggets: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on the Denver Nuggets: 4 right.
At 71%, a pick like this still loses about 29 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 26, 10:13 PM ET at Q1 10:59: Denver Nuggets 85% to win, called at 71%.
Call 71% Alert 85% at 10:59 - 1stLast live read 1% (23.5 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Denver Nuggets avg margin
- +5.0
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Denver Nuggets's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets win chance | 71% | 71% |
| Denver Nuggets spread | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Total | 236.5 | 236.5 |
- Pick locked: the Denver Nuggets at 71%.
- Market closed with the Denver Nuggets at 71%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 10:59: the Denver Nuggets 85% to win, called at 71%.
- Final: Golden State Warriors 134–114 Denver Nuggets. Wrong.
More on these teams
Denver Nuggets
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