Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors: our pick
We called the Los Angeles Lakers at 59%, locked Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Los Angeles Lakers 95–112 Golden State Warriors. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Los Angeles Lakers: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.2 points away from the Los Angeles Lakers, and the spread went from -3.5 to -2.5.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Los Angeles Lakers: 5 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 30, 10:16 PM ET at Q1 10:27: Los Angeles Lakers 71% to win, called at 59%.
Call 59% Alert 71% at 10:27 - 1stLast live read 1% (1.1 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Los Angeles Lakers avg margin
- +9.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Los Angeles Lakers's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Lakers win chance | 59% | 58% |
| Los Angeles Lakers spread | -3.5 | -2.5 |
| Total | 234.5 | 234.5 |
- Pick locked: the Los Angeles Lakers at 59%.
- Market closed with the Los Angeles Lakers at 58%, 1.2 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 10:27: the Los Angeles Lakers 71% to win, called at 59%.
- Final: Los Angeles Lakers 95–112 Golden State Warriors. Wrong.
More on these teams
Golden State Warriors
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