The record · NBA

Detroit Pistons at Miami Heat: our pick

We called the Detroit Pistons at 53%, locked Oct 23, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Detroit Pistons 128–111 Miami Heat. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Pistons: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points toward the Detroit Pistons, and the spread went from -1.5 to -2.5.

Our last 3 graded calls on the Detroit Pistons: 2 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Detroit Pistons win chance, call to final
50%

Call 53%Last live read 100% (11.1 - 4th)

More on these teams

Miami Heat

Detroit Pistons

Fingerprint

c2ad6a0ed77fd5ea8ad09e55ff0f02601f0c863d334120f6ecf5018c1dc9478b

Entry #914 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →