Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks: our pick
We called the Houston Rockets at 69%, locked Oct 30, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Houston Rockets 111–116 Dallas Mavericks. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 69% is the betting market's own price for the Houston Rockets: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 4.1 points away from the Houston Rockets, and the spread went from -6.5 to -5.5.
Our last 6 graded calls on the Houston Rockets: 4 right.
At 69%, a pick like this still loses about 31 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 30, 9:03 PM ET at Q2 2:39: Houston Rockets 84% to win, called at 69%.
Call 69% Alert 84% at 2:39 - 2ndLast live read 1% (0.0 - 4th)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Houston Rockets avg margin
- +14.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Houston Rockets's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets win chance | 69% | 65% |
| Houston Rockets spread | -6.5 | -5.5 |
| Total | 223.5 | 223.5 |
- Pick locked: the Houston Rockets at 69%.
- Market closed with the Houston Rockets at 65%, 4.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 2:39: the Houston Rockets 84% to win, called at 69%.
- Final: Houston Rockets 111–116 Dallas Mavericks. Wrong.
More on these teams
Dallas Mavericks
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