The record · College football

Arkansas State at Southern Miss: our pick

We called Arkansas State at 69%, locked Oct 17, 5:02 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Arkansas State 23–13 Southern Miss. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 69% is the betting market's own price for Arkansas State: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

Our last 3 graded calls on Arkansas State: 2 right.

At 69%, a pick like this still loses about 31 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Arkansas State win chance, call to final
50%

Call 69%Last live read 99% (Q4 2:31)

More on these teams

Southern Miss

Arkansas State

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Entry #807 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →