South Alabama at Arkansas State: our pick
We called Arkansas State at 55%, locked Oct 8, 7:00 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: South Alabama 56–49 Arkansas State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Arkansas State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Arkansas State: 2 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 55%Last live read 7% (Q4 1:50)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Arkansas State avg margin
- +10.5
Only 2 graded games on Arkansas State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Arkansas State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State win chance | 55% | 55% |
| Arkansas State spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 57.5 | 57.5 |
- Pick locked: Arkansas State at 55%.
- Market closed with Arkansas State at 55%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: South Alabama 56–49 Arkansas State. Wrong.
More on these teams
Arkansas State
Fingerprint
4df2186482e4544a21f4655354554fa20b1988a5b89daab51884847b88076f7c