The record · College football

Houston at Kansas State: our pick

We called Kansas State at 55%, locked Oct 10, 1:31 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Houston 35–16 Kansas State. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Kansas State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

Our last 1 graded call on Kansas State: 1 right.

At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Kansas State win chance, call to final
50%

Call 55%Last live read 0% (Q4 2:00)

More on these teams

Kansas State

Houston

Fingerprint

432373864d059e61f7c85f273e99b1eb7fc8abf9c9100d2a0b7bbca9acda73cb

Entry #676 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →