UCF at Houston: our pick
We called Houston at 77%, locked Oct 2, 12:06 PM ET, 23 hours before kickoff.
Final: UCF 17–27 Houston. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 77% is the betting market's own price for Houston: 6 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points away from Houston.
Our last 1 graded call on Houston: 1 right.
At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Houston avg margin
- -2.0
Only 1 graded game on Houston so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Houston's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Houston win chance | 77% | 77% |
| Houston spread | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 50.5 |
- Pick locked: Houston at 77%.
- Market closed with Houston at 77%, 0.3 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: UCF 17–27 Houston. Right.
More on these teams
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