The record · Soccer

Portland Timbers at Sporting Kansas City: our pick

We called Sporting Kansas City at 40%, locked Oct 2, 8:35 PM ET, 7 days before kickoff.

Final: Portland Timbers 3–3 Sporting Kansas City. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 40% is the betting market's own price for Sporting Kansas City: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 6.5 points away from Sporting Kansas City.

Our last 1 graded call on Sporting Kansas City: 1 right.

At 40%, a pick like this still loses about 60 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Sporting Kansas City

Portland Timbers

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Entry #560 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →