The record · Soccer

AEK Athens at Shakhtar Donetsk: our pick

We called AEK Athens at 37%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.

Final: AEK Athens 1–3 Shakhtar Donetsk. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 37% is the betting market's own price for AEK Athens: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 2.2 points away from AEK Athens.

We have no graded calls on AEK Athens yet.

At 37%, a pick like this still loses about 63 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.

More on these teams

Shakhtar Donetsk

Fingerprint

017c94781353d472b536c3e0bccb59ca2d2179a4ca504799cd1580b487f89f1b

Entry #499 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →