The record · Soccer

Bayer Leverkusen at Mainz: our pick

We called Bayer Leverkusen at 42%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 8 days before kickoff.

Final: Bayer Leverkusen 4–3 Mainz. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 42% is the betting market's own price for Bayer Leverkusen: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 1.0 points toward Bayer Leverkusen.

We have no graded calls on Bayer Leverkusen yet.

At 42%, a pick like this still loses about 58 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Mainz

Bayer Leverkusen

Fingerprint

649df185b244fe334d77402b1776da082140bd0868ce2528d193d17943712cdd

Entry #464 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →