The record · Soccer

SC Paderborn 07 at Werder Bremen: our pick

We called Werder Bremen at 51%, locked Oct 4, 2:07 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.

Final: SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Werder Bremen. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 51% is the betting market's own price for Werder Bremen: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 7.5 points toward Werder Bremen.

We have no graded calls on Werder Bremen yet.

At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn 07

Fingerprint

60efc1db9d1e7c524a65f551c8ebeaa7c178f146046bf47ccb28c9962c15c173

Entry #589 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →