The record · Soccer

Atlético Madrid at Alavés: our pick

We called Atlético Madrid at 52%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 9 days before kickoff.

Final: Atlético Madrid 2–1 Alavés. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 52% is the betting market's own price for Atlético Madrid: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 1.4 points toward Atlético Madrid.

We have no graded calls on Atlético Madrid yet.

At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Alavés

Atlético Madrid

Fingerprint

7d2db50e4feff189cc83674ee94ea9e91b0de5f17f26823785d6feb17c0996a3

Entry #460 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →