The record · Soccer

AFC Bournemouth at Chelsea: our pick

We called Chelsea at 54%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 8 days before kickoff.

Final: AFC Bournemouth 1–5 Chelsea. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 54% is the betting market's own price for Chelsea: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 2.1 points away from Chelsea.

We have no graded calls on Chelsea yet.

At 54%, a pick like this still loses about 46 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.

More on these teams

Chelsea

AFC Bournemouth

Fingerprint

d266512be19d1f573bfbd75960da0f784104e489859a65f3d07869dc37f567c9

Entry #502 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →