The record · Soccer

Toulouse at AS Monaco: our pick

We called AS Monaco at 56%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 9 days before kickoff.

Final: Toulouse 2–2 AS Monaco. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 56% is the betting market's own price for AS Monaco: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 3.0 points toward AS Monaco.

We have no graded calls on AS Monaco yet.

At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

AS Monaco

Toulouse

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Entry #443 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →