Fiorentina at Genoa: our pick
We called Fiorentina at 41%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 8 days before kickoff.
Final: Fiorentina 1–2 Genoa. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 41% is the betting market's own price for Fiorentina: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.9 points away from Fiorentina.
We have no graded calls on Fiorentina yet.
At 41%, a pick like this still loses about 59 times in 100.
Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.
Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.
No graded calls on Fiorentina yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina win chance | 41% | 40% |
| Total | 2.5 | 2.5 |
- Pick locked: Fiorentina at 41%.
- Market closed with Fiorentina at 40%, 0.9 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Fiorentina 1–2 Genoa. Wrong.
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