Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars: our pick
We called the Dallas Stars at 52%, locked Oct 13, 7:21 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Colorado Avalanche 3–2 Dallas Stars. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Dallas Stars: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Dallas Stars: 2 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Dallas Stars avg margin
- +1.0
Only 4 graded games on Dallas Stars so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Dallas Stars's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars win chance | 52% | 52% |
| Dallas Stars spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 5.5 | 5.5 |
- Pick locked: the Dallas Stars at 52%.
- Market closed with the Dallas Stars at 52%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Colorado Avalanche 3–2 Dallas Stars. Wrong.
More on these teams
Dallas Stars
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