The record · NHL

Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs: our pick

We called the Toronto Maple Leafs at 54%, locked Oct 2, 12:24 PM ET, 30 hours before kickoff.

Final: Ottawa Senators 3–2 Toronto Maple Leafs. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 54% is the betting market's own price for the Toronto Maple Leafs: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 3.2 points away from the Toronto Maple Leafs.

We have no graded calls on the Toronto Maple Leafs yet.

At 54%, a pick like this still loses about 46 times in 100.

NHL picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Toronto Maple Leafs

Ottawa Senators

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309ac14dafdcbbdda0c222d823954bdd7fe12c3923e92f0a0398130555415899

Entry #554 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →