The record · NHL

Washington Capitals at Tampa Bay Lightning: our pick

We called the Tampa Bay Lightning at 57%, locked Sep 30, 9:25 PM ET, 2 days before kickoff.

Final: Washington Capitals 1–3 Tampa Bay Lightning. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Tampa Bay Lightning: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 7.3 points toward the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Our last 1 graded call on the Tampa Bay Lightning: 0 right.

At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.

NHL picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington Capitals

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Entry #425 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →