The record · NFL

Indianapolis Colts at Cleveland Browns: our pick

We called the Indianapolis Colts at 56%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 124 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

What would the cash-out button say during this game? Try Calculator+ →

Why this pick?

Our 56% is the betting market's own price for the Indianapolis Colts: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 10 graded calls on the Indianapolis Colts: 6 right.

At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

Cleveland Browns

Indianapolis Colts

Fingerprint

ba9a4f7da93d14a3157dab5f995dccc410b64e887bd92614270332d5674b52c8

Entry #129 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →