The record · NFL

New England Patriots at New York Jets: our pick

We called the New England Patriots at 70%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 117 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

What would a bet on this game pay, and what would it risk? →

What would the cash-out button say during this game? Try Calculator+ →

Why this pick?

Our 70% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 9 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 7 right.

At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

New York Jets

New England Patriots

Fingerprint

5f5779a1fec13ebd3414cccb3f9363ece50a97cc2745bb27e15f83f3c59b3046

Entry #215 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →