New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: our pick
We called the New England Patriots at 74%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.
Not played yet.
Why this pick?
Our 74% is the betting market's own price for the New England Patriots: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 2.1 points toward the New England Patriots.
Our last 8 graded calls on the New England Patriots: 6 right.
At 74%, a pick like this still loses about 26 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 6:59 PM ET at Q4 12:39: New England Patriots 97% to win, called at 74%.
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- New England Patriots avg margin
- +0.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New England Patriots's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots win chance | 74% | 76% |
| New England Patriots spread | -7 | — |
| Total | 45.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the New England Patriots at 74%.
- Market closed with the New England Patriots at 76%, 2.1 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 12:39: the New England Patriots 97% to win, called at 74%.
More on these teams
Miami Dolphins
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