The record · NFL

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers: our pick

We called the Pittsburgh Steelers at 69%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.

Final: Cleveland Browns 6–27 Pittsburgh Steelers. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 69% is the betting market's own price for the Pittsburgh Steelers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 4.9 points away from the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Pittsburgh Steelers: 5 right.

At 69%, a pick like this still loses about 31 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 1:31 PM ET at Q1 7:57: Pittsburgh Steelers 82% to win, called at 69%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Pittsburgh Steelers win chance, call to final
50%

Call 69% Alert 84% at Q1 7:57Last live read 100% (Q4 0:22)

More on these teams

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns

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Entry #52 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →