The record · NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: our pick

We called the Pittsburgh Steelers at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 30 days before kickoff.

Final: Pittsburgh Steelers 24–27 Cleveland Browns. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Pittsburgh Steelers: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.2 points away from the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the spread went from -2.5 to +1.5.

Our last 4 graded calls on the Pittsburgh Steelers: 3 right.

At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Cleveland Browns

Pittsburgh Steelers

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Entry #103 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →