The record · NFL

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears: our pick

We called the Chicago Bears at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 27 days before kickoff.

Final: Philadelphia Eagles 7–27 Chicago Bears. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the Chicago Bears: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 16.9 points away from the Chicago Bears.

Our last 4 graded calls on the Chicago Bears: 1 right.

At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Chicago Bears

Philadelphia Eagles

Fingerprint

29d7f19f6ca8124a262b4fda625793332dcf7e2573bc62eb9f5c252733664a9a

Entry #245 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →