The record · NFL

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos: our pick

We called the Los Angeles Rams at 59%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.

Final: Los Angeles Rams 26–30 Denver Broncos. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Los Angeles Rams: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 4.4 points away from the Los Angeles Rams, and the spread went from -3 to +1.5.

Our last 4 graded calls on the Los Angeles Rams: 1 right.

At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Rams

Fingerprint

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Entry #285 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →