The record · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins: our pick

We called the Kansas City Chiefs at 77%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 26 days before kickoff.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 24–10 Miami Dolphins. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 77% is the betting market's own price for the Kansas City Chiefs: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 6.6 points toward the Kansas City Chiefs.

Our last 3 graded calls on the Kansas City Chiefs: 3 right.

At 77%, a pick like this still loses about 23 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs

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Entry #294 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →