The record · NBA

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz: our pick

We called the Denver Nuggets at 51%, locked Oct 5, 12:39 PM ET, 32 hours before kickoff.

Final: Denver Nuggets 117–106 Utah Jazz. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 51% is the betting market's own price for the Denver Nuggets: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

We have no graded calls on the Denver Nuggets yet.

At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Utah Jazz

Denver Nuggets

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Entry #637 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →