The record · NBA

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors: our pick

We called the Portland Trail Blazers at 59%, locked Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Portland Trail Blazers 118–128 Golden State Warriors. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 59% is the betting market's own price for the Portland Trail Blazers: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 6.0 points away from the Portland Trail Blazers, and the spread went from -2.5 to -1.5.

We have no graded calls on the Portland Trail Blazers yet.

At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Portland Trail Blazers win chance, call to final
50%

Call 59%Last live read 1% (14.0 - 4th)

More on these teams

Golden State Warriors

Portland Trail Blazers

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Entry #774 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →