The record · NBA

Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks: our pick

We called the Dallas Mavericks at 51%, locked Oct 16, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Atlanta Hawks 135–111 Dallas Mavericks. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 51% is the betting market's own price for the Dallas Mavericks: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

We have no graded calls on the Dallas Mavericks yet.

At 51%, a pick like this still loses about 49 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Dallas Mavericks win chance, call to final
50%

Call 51%Last live read 1% (22.8 - 4th)

More on these teams

Dallas Mavericks

Atlanta Hawks

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Entry #765 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →