The record · College football

Arizona State at BYU: our pick

We called BYU at 89%, locked Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Arizona State 20–27 BYU. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 89% is the betting market's own price for BYU: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

Our last 5 graded calls on BYU: 3 right.

At 89%, a pick like this still loses about 11 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 7:06 PM ET at Q4 2:09: BYU 99% to win, called at 89%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

BYU win chance, call to final
50%

Call 89% Alert 99% at Q4 2:09Last live read 97% (Q4 0:52)

More on these teams

BYU

Arizona State

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Entry #1147 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →