Sam Houston at Missouri State: our pick
We called Missouri State at 66%, locked Oct 27, 6:20 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Sam Houston 3–24 Missouri State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 66% is the betting market's own price for Missouri State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Missouri State: 3 right.
At 66%, a pick like this still loses about 34 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Missouri State avg margin
- -9.0
Only 4 graded games on Missouri State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Missouri State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Missouri State win chance | 66% | 66% |
- Pick locked: Missouri State at 66%.
- Market closed with Missouri State at 66%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Sam Houston 3–24 Missouri State. Right.
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