North Carolina at Duke: our pick
We called Duke at 59%, locked Oct 17, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: North Carolina 24–20 Duke. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 59% is the betting market's own price for Duke: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Duke: 1 right.
At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 59%Last live read 8% (Q4 1:53)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 2
- Duke avg margin
- +12.5
Only 2 graded games on Duke so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Duke's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Duke win chance | 59% | 59% |
| Duke spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 46.5 |
- Pick locked: Duke at 59%.
- Market closed with Duke at 59%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: North Carolina 24–20 Duke. Wrong.
More on these teams
Duke
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