The record · College football

Baylor at Arizona State: our pick

We called Arizona State at 62%, locked Oct 3, 11:04 AM ET, 11 hours before kickoff.

Final: Baylor 55–19 Arizona State. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 62% is the betting market's own price for Arizona State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

Our last 1 graded call on Arizona State: 1 right.

At 62%, a pick like this still loses about 38 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

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Arizona State

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Entry #576 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →