Virginia at Florida State: our pick
We called Virginia at 56%, locked Oct 2, 7:50 AM ET, 31 hours before kickoff.
Final: Virginia 7–38 Florida State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for Virginia: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.5 points away from Virginia.
Our last 1 graded call on Virginia: 0 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- Virginia avg margin
- -11.0
Only 1 graded game on Virginia so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Virginia's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Virginia win chance | 56% | 54% |
- Pick locked: Virginia at 56%.
- Market closed with Virginia at 54%, 1.5 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Virginia 7–38 Florida State. Wrong.
More on these teams
Fingerprint
8926909088f05135cf13ab505c2ecd3e5fc2e9cae3223e1298069b17c1571708