Florida at Missouri: our pick
We called Florida at 65%, locked Oct 2, 3:44 AM ET, 35 hours before kickoff.
Final: Florida 17–45 Missouri. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 65% is the betting market's own price for Florida: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points away from Florida.
Our last 2 graded calls on Florida: 2 right.
At 65%, a pick like this still loses about 35 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Florida avg margin
- +14.5
Only 2 graded games on Florida so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Florida's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Florida win chance | 65% | 65% |
- Pick locked: Florida at 65%.
- Market closed with Florida at 65%, 0.0 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Florida 17–45 Missouri. Wrong.
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