Boston College at SMU: our pick
We called SMU at 90%, locked Oct 2, 7:05 AM ET, 28 hours before kickoff.
Final: Boston College 16–25 SMU. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 90% is the betting market's own price for SMU: 6 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.2 points toward SMU.
Our last 3 graded calls on SMU: 3 right.
At 90%, a pick like this still loses about 10 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 3
- SMU avg margin
- +15.3
Only 3 graded games on SMU so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: SMU's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| SMU win chance | 90% | 90% |
| Total | 55.5 | 55.5 |
- Pick locked: SMU at 90%.
- Market closed with SMU at 90%, 0.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Boston College 16–25 SMU. Right.
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