The record · College football

Navy at UAB: our pick

We called Navy at 70%, locked Sep 24, 5:30 AM ET, 37 hours before kickoff.

Final: Navy 20–24 UAB. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 70% is the betting market's own price for Navy: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.5 points away from Navy.

Our last 1 graded call on Navy: 0 right.

At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

UAB

Navy

Fingerprint

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Entry #396 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →