The record · College football

UC Davis at SMU: our pick

We called SMU at 94%, locked Sep 12, 2:21 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: UC Davis 10–56 SMU. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 94% is the betting market's own price for SMU: 4 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

We have no graded calls on SMU yet.

At 94%, a pick like this still loses about 6 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

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Entry #317 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →